Блог им. st-travich |So brave Bears 🐻 started in S&P 500 and lost everything by the end of the week

Hello dear traders! 

●  So brave Bears 🐻 started in S&P 500 and lost everything by the end of the week

So brave Bears 🐻 started in S&P 500 and lost everything by the end of the week

●  What will be next? now it is difficult to predict.

 

Nasdaq made an impudent bullish workout of the support 👏 



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Блог им. st-travich |💻 Organize your workspace

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​​Добрый вечер, трейдеры!  ✨

💻 Organize your workspace


В эти выходные я возвращаюсь из Киева, где проводил вебинар для криптофонда «Ufuture» в Unit.City.  У меня нет времени делать воскресный утренний обзор, но вместо этого я хочу поделиться с вами 1-м видео из моего нового образовательного курса (англоязычного), над которым я сейчас работаю.

💻 Как я организую свое рабочее пространство 



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Блог им. st-travich |⚡️ Very strong actitvity in Crude oil and Precious metals

Hallo, Traders! ☀️

 

This week I want to focus on Crude oil, Precious metals, also Agricultural products.

We see a significant increase in open interest, which means good opportunities for us. ☝️

 

Watch this 13 minutes video and be prepared 

 



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Блог им. st-travich |⚡️ Is the market chaos or it is possible to predict it with pure accuracy?!

​​Good day, traders! 👋

 

Is the market chaos or it is possible to predict it with pure accuracy?! 

 

There are a lot of discussions around this topic. And there is a very big amount of people who say that market is a casino and it is impossible to take advantage here if you are not an insider trader.

 

Really most of the time it is so, but the trick is that you don’t have to trade most of the time.

 

When you always supervise real-time data, you can objectively see and feel, when imbalance is critical and the boat is ready to reverse.

 

It is not some magic, happenstance, or second sight.

 

As an example, I wrote about the global Dollar index reversal on September 28 when the ask was 114,205 after which the price no longer reached this value. Also that day a new high of a global trend was established. 

 

So, I want to make a conclusion, that it is possible to predict markets. The biggest difficulty is to be patient and not to trade chaos. It sounds simple, but in practice, you need to train your psyche long enough not to do what is not necessary.

 



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Блог им. st-travich |From the current imbalances, I want to single out Ultra US treasuries bonds (UB). We have a peculiar divergence of volume and quantitative delta here (CD vs. CDQ)

​​Hello, Traders! 😀

 

I am on the road today, so, there will be no video forecast.

 

From the current imbalances, I want to single out Ultra US treasuries bonds (UB). We have a peculiar divergence of volume and quantitative delta here (CD vs. CDQ).

 From the current imbalances, I want to single out Ultra US treasuries bonds (UB). We have a peculiar divergence of volume and quantitative delta here (CD vs. CDQ)

When the price will fix above the last HFT volumes at 124.875 price level on Monday, we will have a potential move to the 1st target of 127.300 and the second target of 129.000.

 

Hope you will have a profitable next week! 👍

 


Блог им. st-travich |​​Great workout in Platinum and Swiss frank! The next movements in Gas (NG) , Wheat (ZW) and US treasures (UB)

Good evening,  traders!

 

One week passed and in a row that was really amazing forecasts. Platinum and Swiss frank went perfectly to their targets. Gold also proceed with its bullish behavior.

 

Only the Japanese yen did not live up to expectations, who is going to move stop after this?

Who proceeds to trade martingale? Managing risks is most important for us, traders.

 

This week I take your attention on Wheat (ZW), Natural Gas (NG), and US treasuries (UB).

 

This 12-minute video is for you today  



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Блог им. st-travich |Next DXY reversal point and peculiar workout in Soybeans 🔥

​​​​Good evening, Traders!

 

That week was very interesting, and we will observe it and make predictions for the next one.

 

NEW 11-minute video for you about :

 

DXY, Euro, S&P 500, Oil, Japanese yen, Natural Gas, Soybeans

 



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Блог им. st-travich |COT reports

Hello TVT Traders! 

Let's overview and discuss potential scenarios for the futures market.
The previous week was very powerful for predictions, especially on gold, silver, and Mexican peso. Let's see and try to find what to do next.




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Блог им. st-travich |COT reports

 

Hello Traders! 

 

It was a volatile but not so good week, eventually for me. My expectations about US Treasury Bonds, the Australian dollar have not been realized and the Japanese Yen made a hard rock falling, without any correction, because of the very dovish monetary policy of the central bank compared with FED.



🔺 But still, Ultra US Treasury Bonds (UB) can show us buying opportunities on this level


COT reports

It was my plan and I traded it, of course, the most important thing is to manage your risk, not to be suffered very much because of unexpected movements.

 

🔺 Even the Mexican peso (6M) returned to breakeven. Of course, I expect a further continuation, but it is not the proper picture.

COT reports



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Блог им. st-travich |СОТ отчёты

Сейчас сложно будет ставить вероятностные сценарии, волатильность зашкаливает

Лучше ориентироваться на ленту принтов и дисбалансы в моменте для краткосрочных сделок. Риски нужно уменьшить как минимум в 2 раза, стопы увеличить на ту же величину. Но тем ни менее глобальный взгляд также стоит иметь. Известный валютный трейдер Брент Доннелли пишет: “Хорошие трейдеры всегда имеют план. Они не всегда придерживаются его, но он у них есть.” Потому будем продолжать смотреть на факты и делать гипотезы.

СОТ отчёты


По СП500 ( ES) очень интересно, что фонды до событий вышли в экстремальный лонг, нарастив покупки на 25%.  На самом минимуме был большой объем закрытых позиций по путам, и добавление колл опционов на страйке 4400, в преддверии внушительного отскока. Крупные игроки, как это часто бывает, совершают сделки в выгодных местах.



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